Naira Depreciation Expected As External Reserves Continue Fall

Naira Depreciation Expected As External Reserves Continue Fall

Last week the naira depreciated by N1 in the parallel market where the exchange rate rose to N360 per dollar on Friday from N359 per dollar the previous week. In the I&E window, the indicative exchange rate crossed the N364 per dollar mark for the first time this year, rising to N364.12 per dollar on Friday from N363.42 per dollar the previous week. On the other hand, data by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that the external reserves declined to $43.35 billion on Wednesday, October 10, from $44.305 at the end of September, translating to $955 million in the first day of the month.

Data provided by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) showed that the external reserves declined to $43.35 billion on Wednesday, October 10, from $44.305 at the end of September, translating to $955 million in the first day of the month.

Since July 5, when the reserves peaked at $47.798 billion, it has steadily declined. To be precise, it has declined by $4.448 billion or by 9.3 percent. The steady decline in reserves is driven by increased dollar sales by the CBN to meet increased demand prompted by foreign portfolio investors exiting the nation’s debt market.

Analysts at Lagos based Cowry Assets Management Limited, projected further naira depreciation of the naira in most segments of the foreign exchange market this week due to persistent demand for dollar by foreign portfolio investors. They said: “This week, we expect further depreciation in the exchange rate in most market segments, especially at the I&E FX window as foreign portfolio investors’ demand for the greenback persist.”

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